NDA 2023 Mathematics question
Suppose that there is a chance for a newly constructed building to collapse, whether the design is faulty or not. The chance that the design is faulty is 10%. The chance that the building collapses is 95% if the design is faulty, otherwise it is 45%. If it is seen that the building has collapsed, then what is the probability that it is due to faulty design?
Answer: (B)
Solution
Let = design faulty, = building collapses. , , , . By Bayes' theorem, $P(F|E) =
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